Description

This analysis provides a forecast of XLM prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2024-12-29 0.233615 0.273573 0.320807 0.381451 0.458265 0.553735 0.683659
2025-01-05 0.169864 0.216852 0.279470 0.371689 0.508953 0.714552 1.065145
2025-01-12 0.137871 0.187247 0.259131 0.376985 0.577750 0.933878 1.696038
2025-01-19 0.115173 0.163548 0.238712 0.372547 0.626961 1.150008 2.544173
2025-01-26 0.101570 0.149819 0.229144 0.381284 0.702039 1.467213 4.075129
2025-02-02 0.092173 0.140551 0.224181 0.395903 0.795771 1.906919 6.938243
2025-02-09 0.084118 0.131880 0.218038 0.405807 0.884462 2.427407 12.010426
2025-02-16 0.077843 0.125150 0.213882 0.418414 0.988101 3.133130 22.735909
2025-02-23 0.072074 0.118378 0.208193 0.425701 1.082651 3.962106 45.383286
2025-03-02 0.066839 0.111821 0.201656 0.428976 1.168682 4.932865 99.032289
2025-03-09 0.061896 0.105157 0.193708 0.426382 1.235136 5.972914 237.823598
2025-03-16 0.057125 0.098253 0.184124 0.416821 1.271752 6.949091 626.944182
2025-03-23 0.054338 0.095078 0.182542 0.430242 1.417757 9.413285 7686.834134
2025-03-30 0.050350 0.089026 0.173491 0.419361 1.452357 11.042876 802967.751940
2025-04-06 0.047786 0.085659 0.170259 0.425758 1.579565 14.698762 NaN
2025-04-13 0.044888 0.081281 0.163944 0.420600 1.646151 18.158817 NaN
2025-04-20 0.043032 0.078948 0.162328 0.430885 1.814724 25.835771 NaN
2025-04-27 0.041629 0.077453 0.162599 0.448099 2.052172 40.586248 NaN
2025-05-04 0.040095 0.075502 0.161392 0.459779 2.274147 63.557798 NaN
2025-05-11 0.038788 0.073936 0.160983 0.474666 2.550479 109.926134 NaN
2025-05-18 0.037354 0.071935 0.159101 0.483283 2.796881 191.054078 NaN
2025-05-25 0.035874 0.069696 0.156250 0.487159 3.015167 338.932123 NaN
2025-06-01 0.034298 0.067099 0.152052 0.484089 3.166782 582.284431 NaN